Diplomats are typically known for
couching their aims and opinions in even, inoffensive terms designed to convey
meaning without alienating. Mr. Nasr, a former high-ranking diplomat in Richard
Holbrooke’s AfPak (Afghanistan-Pakistan) group within the State Department, has
dispensed with this approach in his memoirs, The Dispensable Nation: American Foreign Policy in Retreat. Mr.
Nasr appears to find it difficult to hide his bitterness with what he purports
to be a major failure on the part of the Administration, particularly when it
comes to Middle Eastern policy. Nasr writes that continued sanctions against
Iran and a general reluctance, verging on refusal, to engage the Iranian regime
on Afghanistan was a serious failure by the Administration, “which showed a
lack of imagination in managing both those challenges” (Nasr, Location 934). Nasr’s
work contrasts starkly with the recent works of Secretaries Panetta and Gates. One
of the most positive characteristics of Gates and Panetta’s works was their
tendency to refrain from passing judgement on the Administration. Their
criticism of the Executive largely came in questioning the consolidation of power
among a few members of the National Security Staff. In a world full of pundits
who seek to color history with their own lenses, both Secretaries wrote books
which laid out their version of the facts without excessive spin. While one can
feel their patience wear increasingly thin as they recount the sequence of
events during their time in office, both of their works start out positively,
whereas Mr. Nasr’s disappointment is palpable from the beginning of The Dispensable Nation.
Nasr asserts
that the military was allowed to run rampant by an administration too timid to
control it. In regard to the American decision to sever close ties with
Pakistan after years of rocky relations, Nasr writes,” Ours was not just an
empty bluff, it was worse than that—it was folly we believed in and crafted out
policy on, and all Pakistan had to do was wait for reality to set in…We did not
have to break the relationship and put Pakistan’s stability at risk…We have not
realized our immediate security goals there and have put our long-run strategic
interests in jeopardy. Pakistan is a failure of American policy, a failure of
the sort that comes from the president handing foreign policy over to the
Pentagon and the intelligence agencies” (Ibid., Location 1612). Gates and
Panetta, alternatively, both felt that the Administration hamstrung the
military and failed in Iraq by allowing relations to deteriorate to a point
when US troops withdrew from the country altogether. The Secretaries largely
refrain from sweeping language, with the exception of their horror at what they
characterize as an American abandonment of our duty in Iraq. Nasr is clearly a
gifted academic and diplomat, but his broad stroke denunciations of the
Administration’s decisions do at times, feel less like careful consideration of
all aspects of policy affecting a decision and more an embittered complaint
that his team’s specific aims were not achieved. It’s hard to shake the feeling
that Nasr is not-so-subtlety arguing that the Administrations problems could
have been solved had they just listened to Nasr and Holbrooke’s team.
Partially as a result of this, the
work is certainly less fulfilling than those of Gates and Panetta. Because Nasr
chooses to be so clearly biased in certain places, one is tempted to question
objective analysis throughout the rest of the work. However, as a critique of
the national security and foreign policy team in the White House, Nasr’s piece
is valuable in that it highlights the deeply divided stances of at least some
members of the diplomatic apparatus and the defense department. Similarly to
the Defense Secretaries, he critiques the Administration for centralizing too
much of the decision making, but he disagrees with those decisions for almost directly
opposing reasons from the leaders of Defense. Where they feel the
Administration has not gone far enough, Nasr argues it went too far, and vice
versa. Importantly, his work contrasts with those of Gates and Panetta to show
that the Administration took something of a middle road in its decision making
between State and Defense. By looking at criticism from both sides, we find
that perhaps the Administration was not ignoring its advisors as much as trying
to find a way to mediate a series of heated debates.
Though
clearly flawed in certain ways, Nasr’s work is an insightful critique of
American policy and provides an interesting warning regarding President Obama’s
stated policy to pivot away from the Middle East and toward the Pacific. He
cogently argues that if America does seek to counter the growth of Chinese
influence globally, it is important to do this not only in East Asia but also
in those areas of the world where Chinese influence is quickly increasing. In
particular, he notes that if Chinese influence on the Gulf Monarchies were to
continue to grow unchecked, as it has in Pakistan and Africa, “Chinese interest
in Middle Eastern energy sources [would] threaten to put at a disadvantage the
very allies—India, Japan, South Korea, and even much of Europe—that America
needs to balance China. If these countries became dependent on China for their
energy supplies they would have to align their foreign and economic policies
with China, which would mean moving away from the United States. That would put
a big dent into our plans for containing China in the Asia Pacific and ensuring
the region’s continued prosperity and openness” (Ibid., Location 3876). His
appraisal seems prophetic in light of the recent tour of the Middle East
undertaken by Chinese President Xi Jinping. With stops in Saudi Arabia, Egypt,
and Iran, the trip illustrates China’s strategy to bridge both sides of the
dangerous Shiite-Sunni divide in which America has taken a decidedly Sunni
bent. China is the largest trading partner with all three powerful Middle
Eastern states (“Xi Jinping’s tour of the Middle East shows China’s growing
stake there.” The Economist, 20 Jan.
2016. Web.) Nasr reminds his readers that the world has become far too
interconnected to allow us to focus on any particular region at the expense of
the rest. To do so would be to apply 20th century Containment policy
on a fluid 21th century world, no more useful than trying to grab a
handful of water.
It’s
unsurprising that Nasr left the Administration embittered. Brought into
government on a wave of hope for change and into a State Department led by
respected personalities such as Secretary of State Clinton and Ambassador
Holbrooke, Nasr expected to be able to achieve what he saw as a triumphant
success in American relations with the Middle East. What he found, instead,
were the harsh realities of a region and US government pulled apart by various
entrenched and opposing interests. Nasr’s very unwillingness to recognize the
validity of competing interests in the Administration highlights the desperate
need for American leaders, across agencies and the White House staff and
throughout both parties, to see that in order to engender compromise and
success globally, we must first be willing to reach out with compromise at
home.
--Benjamin Spacapan